Mon Apr 27, 2009 2:42PM EDT
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It's bad enough that I can barely compete with the geniuses that parade through the Jeopardy! set every evening: Now us mortals have to face the possibility of competing against a computer loaded with trivia, as IBM preps a special supercomputer that could take on human contestants on a special edition of the popular game show.
This is the latest step from IBM in pushing computer intelligence into the world of human intelligence. The latest battleground: Quiz show Jeopardy!, where sometimes easy, sometimes obscure, sometimes tricky trivia is asked of three contestants who have to be the first to ring in in order to get a shot to answer -- and always in the form of a question.
Beating humans to the buzzer and phrasing the question properly will be the least of the worries of Watson -- as the Jeopardy!-playing supercomputer has been named -- nor will it be having a memory for facts. Rather, Watson's big challenge will be in understanding the questions posed on the show in order to determine exactly what is being asked.
For a simple piece of trivia this might not be so tricky: In a category of "World Capitals" a question of "Canada" leaves little confusion for Watson (or human contestants) on how to respond. But a question like "Meaning 'not working properly,' it may date back to a character in the comic strip 'The Katzenjammer Kids.'"* requires a deep level of abstract thought. Watson may have a list of Katzenjammer Kids character names, but will it be able -- on the fly -- to examine that list and compare it to common slang terms to determine the right response? Will it even understand to do that?
And how will it respond to the wordplay clues in categories like "Before & After" or categories which ask for a response that rhymes?
Watson's engineers say they aren't sure either, but they want to try, the goal is to get computers interacting in "human terms," a challenge which began in earnest when IBM pitted a computer against chess champion Garry Kasparov in the mid-'90s. Human and computer both won various matches in those series (though Kasparov claimed cheating when he lost). Ironically, the Jeopardy! challenge presents a much tougher challenge from an engineering standpoint -- but one in which it would be far more effective to cheat. (Any number of quick wits could do well feeding Watson answers; the number of players who could challenge Kasparov at chess is much smaller.)
Now IBM and Jeopardy!'s producers are looking at ways to actually stage this event, who would play, and what exactly would be on screen during the game. I, for one, vote for a CGI avatar with a deep, Scottish accent.
*Answer: "on the fritz" -- this was an actual Final Jeopardy! question in 2007
Join in the discussion. Here you'll see the comments in the order they were posted.
So the problem is not with the memory of events (which is full of nonsense) but rather with the understanding of the question. How about strategy? The computer can always respond first, after the question is asked. Why not buzz-in first for all questions? Then it has maybe 10 seconds to come up with an answer in the form of a question -- so it starts to answer in 10 seconds (What is ...) and then takes its best guess. So it has maybe 13 seconds to come up with an answer. In 13 seconds it could control the world. Of course, the computer doesn't know what it knows and doesn't know what it doesn't know. That's its Achilles Heal. You ask a human, "What's the White House's address?", and the human knows whether it should respond. The human has fast access to its memory of types of events, although a much slower memory to the answer, itself.
watson? shoulda named it turd ferguson.
Giving more power to the beast ah?
Plead no contest champs.Anyone could pick the winner here.
Hmm, I think I would enjoy having a go at that machine.
The article states the following ###Quiz show Jeopardy!, where sometimes easy, sometimes obscure, sometimes tricky trivia is asked of three contestants who have to be the first to ring in in order to get a shot to answer -- and always in the form of a question.### Jeopardy asks more than "trivia". Jeopardy asks questions on Math, Science, History and Geography in addition to the "trivia" questions.
The article states the following ###Quiz show Jeopardy!, where sometimes easy, sometimes obscure, sometimes tricky trivia is asked of three contestants who have to be the first to ring in in order to get a shot to answer -- and always in the form of a question.### Jeopardy asks more than "trivia". Jeopardy asks questions on Math, Science, History and Geography in addition to the "trivia" questions.
The panel should include Chris Langan of Missouri who has the highest recorded IQ.
Rogue Robots. Rogue Robots. Foreign contaminant.
cool idea-Id handle it like I would Deep Blue-It will never see the hammer when I destroy its little micro-chip brain Turd Ferguson ftw
I am thinking Hal from space 2001... "The answer is right dave, you are wrong dave..."
Daisy Daisy give me your answer truuuuuuuuueeeeeeeee. Just make sure to install that cutoff switch. Though it might be interesting seeing Alex ejected into space. One can always dream.
"Open the pod bay door, Hal..." "I can't do that, Alex."
The New Deep Blue!
Should be interesting to say the least. I attended a computer school in the sixties, and during an open house gala, our school computer was set up to engage with the local University's computer in a game of poker. Everything was fine until someone discovered the U's computer had figured out how to cheat.
I'll take the rapist for 400!
hmmm. New to posting. My 6:03 comment showed almost immediately. Another (longer but within the 3K limit) still hasn't appeared. Anyone know why?
Two words...Max Headroom
It would be cool to see how it works out, but I think the human champs will win in the end. I don't artificial intelligence is still advanced enough to function in the abstract world of trivia. The computer will beat them to the buzzer on the straight forward questions, but it will tank on other questions. Not even the great IBM can make a computer program recognize nuance, or total abstraction. I don't buy it.
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46 Posted by rikmyrs39 on Thu Sep 3, 2009 8:42PM EDT Report Abuse
I would fall out of my chair if the computer were to say in a scottish accent that did something with Trebek's mother the night before.