Wed Dec 12, 2007 6:01PM EST
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Hey, I don't know what's going to happen next year any more than you do... but I have a hunch about a few things. Here's my take on what we'll see from the tech world over the next 12 months, for good and for bad.
iPhone 2.0 - A new iPhone is coming, and probably sooner than you think. I am guessing it'll be announced officially at Macworld in January, just like last year, with release in the summer. What will it do? 3G and GPS, for starters. What you do with your old iPhone (with another year on the contract) is another question.
Android Arrives - Google's Android open source phone OS will ship to incredibly positive reviews, but only a scant few handsets will be available with it. Carriers won't be thrilled about Google poking around in their backyard (see next prediction) and will see this as a way to subtly punish Google.
Google Smacked Down at 700MHz - Google will bid for the coveted 700MHz wireless spectrum but will get beat out by one of the major carriers, which will snap it up... and do nothing with it.
No End in Sight to the High-Def War - And on it goes, as prices on HD DVD and Blu-ray players stabilize at $199 or so. The war, in fact, will really start to heat up in 2008. Everything we've seen so far is just prologue.
Intel Continues to Dominate PCs - AMD will bring some new and compelling CPU offerings to the table, but Intel's momentum just won't be stoppable as it keeps rolling over the competition in both desktop and laptop computers. Buying a new high-end computer next year will probably still mean buying Intel.
A Shift from Magnetic Storage - 2008 will bring solid-state hard drives (based on flash memory instead of spinning disks) as a reality for many. Now available at 64GB, affordable, smaller solid-state disks will hit the mainstream in a big way, leading to more crash-resistant laptops.
No New TV Tech - Laser, SED, OLED... all of these technologies will continue on the sidelines as LCD and, yes, plasma, keep duking it out with bigger, brighter, and cheaper screens.
802.11n Finally Arrives - Years in the making, a new Wi-Fi standard will finally be ratified, approved, and everything. That said, it won't offer much that the draft N standards don't already do.
Wii Momentum Starts to Slow Down - You may finally even be able to buy one next Christmas!
PS3 Remains in Last - Unless Sony makes extensive price cuts to the PS3, it won't pick up the ground that many are expecting... and Sony is not a big price slasher. I'm not counting Sony down for the count, but I predict that Xbox will continue to draw bigger buzz in '08 than the PlayStation.
Superfast Internet Starts Arriving - We're seeing hints of it now, but ISPs will start ramping up to faster and faster offerings. Comcast is talking about 160Mbps service... of course, that doesn't mean it'll be available where you live.
You'll Finally Switch to Vista - Microsoft has been wearing you down all this time. Frankly, it's just inevitable at this point, unless you break down and buy a Mac.
Join in the discussion. Here you'll see the comments in the order they were posted.
What, no new Linux predictions?
pwolynec, I don't think you understand why the Wii is so popular. It is the first of the big gaming companies to actually make the games fun to play instead of continually ramping up bigger and better graphics, and then if there is any time and money left work on gameplay. The Wii is a paradigm shift in the gaming market. For instance, my parents like playing the Wii, and they can barely tolerate other video games. Also, as a parent I will be looking more closely at the Wii, why because unlike the XBox and PS3 the Wii gets my kids up and moving. It might not be as good as going out and playing ball, but it is better then sitting on the couch and moving their thumbs. So in the end, I could care less about more games for the XBox and Windows if they are just more of the same couch potato, eye candy that has been the standard for close to two decades.
m_knopp: They novelty of the wii will fall. And when it does, it will fall hard. Another blog talked about how despite the wii selling more, the x360 is still being played the most out of all the next gen consoles. I know a lot of people that bought the wii and played the sports game that came with the system for a few weeks, and that was it. Now it sits collecting dust. Yes, the wii is a cool little machine, but it's not going to last for very long if they dont bring out very many "Must Have" games.
Why do I feel that monopolies are essentially owning everything? As for the Wii, it's a good/bad comparison based on the target audience. So far, the Wii sounds like a mainstream system due to the fact that there aren't a lot of good games on it that the hardcore gamers would want. For the mainstream, the Wii will continue to be snapped up until a saturation point is reached.
The Whereifone is a teeny, tiny cell phone that has GPS tracking functions built into it. This produ ...
| Computers | Home Office | Wi-Fi & Networking | Phones & PDAs | Cameras & Camcorders | TV & Home Theater | Portable Audio |
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1 Posted by pwolynec on Wed Dec 12, 2007 7:39PM EST Report Abuse
Since there is nobody left of the big boys actually bidding on the 700Mhz platform anymore (everyone else already pre-purchased their 700Mhz spectrum from early adopters) Google will not have any competition in the bidding at all. AT&T, Verizon and Sprint are all already blocked by previous purchases. T-Mobile is the only one left, and I doubt they will outbid Google. Intel will continue to dominate until a serious flaw is found in the math co-processor, so serious it will affect hundreds of millions of computers worldwide, causing hot patches to need to be developed for every operating system running on an Intel platform (this is real by the way - I have no idea why nobody is harping on it yet - its a horrible bug). AMD will use this to spring ahead with hardware that remains reliable. Wii and XBox momentum both pick up, but the XBox is being driven by release of a new Developer's unit and a reduction in the price of being part of the XNA Creator's Club, so more games will be produced for the XBox and Windows - which will in turn fuel a 2009 release glut for the XBox and Windows - at that point the Wii will be left in the dust.