Analyst: Computer mice could be extinct in 3-to-5 years

Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:08PM EDT

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Touchscreens, facial recognition systems, and gesture-based interfaces could spell the end of the humble computer mouse sooner than you might think, or so a Gartner analyst predicts. Mouse manufacturers (not to mention millions of desktop users) beg to differ.

Analyst Steve Prentice told BBC News that while the "mouse works fine in the desktop environment ... for home entertainment or working on a notebook, it's over."

That's a bold statement, given that the mouse-cursor combo has been making our lives easier for decades (the mouse itself was invented nearly 40 years ago)—and when it comes to a desktop PC, a mouse (as Prentice admits) does, indeed, work "fine."

But the Gartner analysts points to the popularity of the gesture-based Wiimote, the iPhone's touchscreen UI and tilt-sensitive accelerometers, and even the wireless axe in Guitar Hero as evidence that consumers are moving beyond the mouse.

Now, Prentice doesn't go so far as to kiss off the venerable keyboard, too. "For all its faults, the keyboard will remain the primary text input device," he told the BBC. Thank goodness for that.

However, "the idea of a keyboard with a mouse as a control interface is the paradigm that I am talking about breaking down," Prentice said.

Just tell that to mouse maker Logitech. "The death of the mouse is greatly exaggerated," a Logitech exec told the BBC, adding that the company has sold a whopping 500 million mice in the past two decades.

What do you think? Would you ever ditch your mouse for, say, a touch-sensitive PC monitor, or Minority Report-level gesture tech? Or will they have to pry your mouse from your cold, dead fingers?

Related:
Say goodbye to the computer mouse [BBC News]

 

Comments on Analyst: Computer mice could be extinct in 3-to-5 years

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  • 1 Posted by thekclyon on Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:39PM EDT Report Abuse

    How can a touch screen replace my mouse when it comes to uber-pwnage on Team Fortress 2... or any PC game for that matter. Nah. I don't buy it :P

  • 2 Posted by larmo33 on Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:51PM EDT Report Abuse

    As a PC gamer, I find it very annoying that I have to use a keyboard and mouse combo to play games. Whatever happened to having the choice of using a mouse or joystick? I find it interesting that console games which are quite demanding, work wonderfully with just one controller. I recently bought a Falcon gaming device, which provides the user with force and tactile feedback. I hope to use it a lot in the future. I doubt that mouse usage will totally disappear any time soon.

  • 3 Posted by dcsoccer25 on Thu Jul 17, 2008 1:59PM EDT Report Abuse

    This is a pretty nifty alternative to a mouse for gaming. http://www.tigerdirect.com/applications/SearchTools/item-details.asp?EdpNo=3427255&CatId=141

  • 4 Posted by o2cmefly on Thu Jul 17, 2008 2:56PM EDT Report Abuse

    Only when intelligent voice-interface comes to be the standard will you even START to see mice disappear. And that's gonna be a while.

  • 5 Posted by kenmaze on Thu Jul 17, 2008 3:29PM EDT Report Abuse

    40 years? It was invented in 1963, but sure didn't show up on desks in large numbers until the mid-80s. I still remember my brother making fun of me for having a mouse and Windows 3.0 in the mid-80's. It's really been more like 25 years. Still, a long time.

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