Analyst: Computer mice could be extinct in 3-to-5 years

Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:08PM EDT

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Touchscreens, facial recognition systems, and gesture-based interfaces could spell the end of the humble computer mouse sooner than you might think, or so a Gartner analyst predicts. Mouse manufacturers (not to mention millions of desktop users) beg to differ.

Analyst Steve Prentice told BBC News that while the "mouse works fine in the desktop environment ... for home entertainment or working on a notebook, it's over."

That's a bold statement, given that the mouse-cursor combo has been making our lives easier for decades (the mouse itself was invented nearly 40 years ago)—and when it comes to a desktop PC, a mouse (as Prentice admits) does, indeed, work "fine."

But the Gartner analysts points to the popularity of the gesture-based Wiimote, the iPhone's touchscreen UI and tilt-sensitive accelerometers, and even the wireless axe in Guitar Hero as evidence that consumers are moving beyond the mouse.

Now, Prentice doesn't go so far as to kiss off the venerable keyboard, too. "For all its faults, the keyboard will remain the primary text input device," he told the BBC. Thank goodness for that.

However, "the idea of a keyboard with a mouse as a control interface is the paradigm that I am talking about breaking down," Prentice said.

Just tell that to mouse maker Logitech. "The death of the mouse is greatly exaggerated," a Logitech exec told the BBC, adding that the company has sold a whopping 500 million mice in the past two decades.

What do you think? Would you ever ditch your mouse for, say, a touch-sensitive PC monitor, or Minority Report-level gesture tech? Or will they have to pry your mouse from your cold, dead fingers?

Related:
Say goodbye to the computer mouse [BBC News]

 

Comments on Analyst: Computer mice could be extinct in 3-to-5 years

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  • 26 Posted by clair.smith78 on Thu Sep 3, 2009 3:26PM EDT Report Abuse

    How many people clicked on the comment box to type their answers? Other methods require too much detail work with your hands, its easy to move from mouse to keyboard and back. In the end we are addicted to ease of use and not likely to take the time it would learn to use a new method.

  • 27 Posted by lashleyl06 on Thu Sep 3, 2009 4:56PM EDT Report Abuse

    Touch screens are nasty, germ infested inventions. People at my job touch their screens for some reason and they are NASTY plus the ATM touch screen at Bank of America, I try and use as little fingertip as I can when I withdraw monies. Out of my cold dead hands you will have to pry my mouse. If touch screens become more popular then the pharmaceutical companies and CEO's will become gazillionairs because all kinds of new diseases and germs will appear

  • 29 Posted by bryan.holliday on Thu Sep 3, 2009 3:14PM EDT Report Abuse

    Hard to say, I can't see reaching up to the screen every time to change pages, click on icons and what about game play....the mouse is easy to use I can't see how a touch sensitive screen could replace that but a newer mouse-type device I can see happening. The Wii remote has opened up way too many ways to navigate than rolling right or left.

  • 30 Posted by dahjiba1801 on Thu Sep 3, 2009 3:34PM EDT Report Abuse

    I don't think the mouse is going anywhere soon. Granted Keyboard shortcuts are wonderful, but who wants to memorize all that. unless they come up with a better....CHEAPER alternative and more games start switching over to Joysticks (Which are slowly becoming harder to find) and controllers. It's going to be hard to say. However once the price comes down on these laser Keyboards "http://mytreo.net/store/xproduct.php?xProd=295" I'm ditching my Keyboard.

  • 31 Posted by bookhogs on Thu Sep 3, 2009 3:11PM EDT Report Abuse

    I'd go for a touchscreen and day. The work I do on the computer using Microsoft Office, Visio, etc. would be so much easier on a touch screen. Yeah! Keep working on it.

  • 32 Posted by thomassparks@att.net on Thu Sep 3, 2009 10:08PM EDT Report Abuse

    i like the mouse,it suites me just fine. besides,the touch screen likes to get scratched and worn. like those cash regesters in valero convience stores. someone's always putting out imformation that people don't want to hear. that's just my opinion,what do i know?

  • 33 Posted by rgbis4uno on Thu Sep 3, 2009 8:38PM EDT Report Abuse

    idk about the mouse dying. i already use multiple different tools to move my cursor depending on the job i'm doing...for certain things, the mouse is better than a touch screen or tablet. for other things those two items are better. i'm all about integration.

  • 34 Posted by aegrabanski on Thu Sep 3, 2009 2:46PM EDT Report Abuse

    Well... The computer mouse eventually will go extinct... After the pc gaming controller takes over. And that will only happen after the pc first-person shooter dies. A computer mouse is the best input device for first-person shooters. I'm not sure that anything better will come along... Unless they rig up something like metroid prime 3 on nintendo wii. That worked just about as good as the mouse. Otherwise, the mouse is here to stay...

  • 35 Posted by comicexpressions on Thu Sep 3, 2009 3:28PM EDT Report Abuse

    I doubt the mouse will vanish entirely, but it is no longer *the way* to interact with a computer. I barely remember how to use a mouse, and every time I have to use one on someone else's computer, I find it quite annoying. Trackpad for normal use + pen tablet in Photoshop for me!

  • 36 Posted by sideout244 on Thu Sep 3, 2009 9:21PM EDT Report Abuse

    The only way I'd want my mouse to go away is if I get some sort of visual way to move objects on the screen with my eyes.. Other than that.. no thanks. The classic mouse and keyboard works for me. Why fix something that isn't broken?

  • 37 Posted by twofairylady on Thu Sep 3, 2009 10:25PM EDT Report Abuse

    I love my PC(lap top). I bought a wireless mouse and it's awsome the mouse is far far away from becoming extinct..

  • 38 Posted by grayah2003 on Thu Sep 3, 2009 4:12PM EDT Report Abuse

    I don't think so, there is alot of games that just don't make sense. Esspically in MMORPG, where text is just as important as clicking. I have no idea how they could take LOTR online or WoW to a gesture system or a touch screen. It would just be silly.

  • 40 Posted by collarncuffsboy on Thu Sep 3, 2009 3:28PM EDT Report Abuse

    I am gonna jump on the "cold dead finger" band wagon. There is no way that I will be giving up the mouse.

  • 41 Posted by hooterwing on Thu Sep 3, 2009 4:20PM EDT Report Abuse

    I guess if you've used a club for 40 years and thought it was "fine" it might be hard to understand the principles of a long-range rifle or a Predator drone. Regardless, until you open your mind and realize that a touch screen could open up the ability to - for gaming as an example - to "touch" and shoot multiple targets in less than 1 second while only using your two index fingers. Now expand your thoughts to all ten digits. As for me, I welcome the opportunity to change. If the idea fails, oh well. It at least got people thinking. If it takes off, things will be getting a LOT faster paced.

  • 42 Posted by star_wars210 on Thu Sep 3, 2009 9:39PM EDT Report Abuse

    MIce are cheap and inexpensive a good touch moniter could go for 200-900 dolllars and a gesture would be even more expensive and delicate so the mouse suites me just fine

  • 43 Posted by x4me@ymail.com on Thu Sep 3, 2009 10:51PM EDT Report Abuse

    I will be ok with the loss of the mouse provided I have a touch screen!! I have a laptop as my home computer, the red button midway through my keyboard is a pain in the --wrist and hand! My hand will cramp up and be in pain just because I had visited a site with a lot of scrolling. My temporay fix was to buy a wireless keyboard, which on one hand has been great but the cons are that the batteries die quickly and way too often. Plus I have to switch the USB port anytime i turn off my computer. It is really annoying, but easier on my wrist. I would love a touch screen!

  • 44 Posted by generalordglossop on Thu Sep 3, 2009 4:07PM EDT Report Abuse

    I find (mine at least) mice very frustrating. They stick and it's hard for me to use it. That being said, I think a touch screen moniter would be just as frustrating. What about something like in Iron Man (you know, when he's desinging the arm to his new suit and it's all holographic and completely interactive)

  • 45 Posted by winsurv3d@sbcglobal.net on Thu Sep 3, 2009 10:47PM EDT Report Abuse

    Not likely. Mice have gone through their own evolution and will continue to do so. The Logitech Revolution is latest iteration of that evolution. Touch screens are nice because they are intuitive, but they require more physical energy to interact with than a mouse does. People tend to gravitate to that which requires the least expenditure of energy. Touch screens will find their niche as an additional human interface device, but it is highly unlikely that mice will go the way of the dinosaur.

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