Sun Oct 26, 2008 8:52PM EDT
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Reader Heather Fisher writes: Are the prices of flat panel TV's going to go down anytime soon? When can we expect them to go down if they are?
I'm getting mixed messages on the TV pricing issue.
First, it's pretty clear that prices will continue to slip as the holidays approach: You can thank the global economic crisis and slow demand for that. But the harsh realities of the flat-panel business would seem to indicate that there's not much further for flat panel prices to fall. Why? Because in virtually all cases, LCD screens are already being sold to TV and computer companies at prices below cost, according to the latest research from DisplaySearch, which closely tracks this industry.
In some cases the discrepancy is extreme: Panel makers are selling bare 32-inch LCD TV panels for an estimated $223 to manufacturers, but those panels cost between $248 and $256 to build. In other words: For now, the panel makers are losing up to $33 on every panel they sell.
Prices for finished TVs vary widely of course, but name-brand 32-inch LCD TVs can be found at retail for under $600, with $599 being a pretty common price point. Add in labor and the additional materials that go into a finished TV, distribution costs, and markup from the retailer, and there really isn't a lot of fat left in television prices. (Very large TVs are the exception, so if you're looking for bargains, shop smaller.)
Now here's the curious flipside. According to a blog post on the very same topic at the New York Times, another researcher, also at DisplaySearch, says that prices are likely going to plummet in the next few weeks. According the post, this researchers says prices on 32-inch TVs could hit between $399 and $499.
That would be an enormous drop, and it almost sounds too good (for shoppers) to be true. Again, the reasons are all about trying to salvage sales in the fourth quarter... but the story also alludes to the fact that the biggest discounts will be in the bare-bones, off-brand, stripped-down TVs. You'll get good enough picture quality, but don't expect, say, 120Hz operation, multiple HDMI inputs, and so on.
The most likely outcome is that off-brand models will fall quite a bit, but name brand sets will have more modest price cuts. (I'm deeply skeptical that we'll see 32-inch LCDs hit $399 aside from the occasional Black Friday sale, but that's a gut reaction.) Is it worth it to wait a few weeks to save 50 bucks on the price of a TV? How willing you are to brave holiday crowds and fight over what could become hotly desired goodies may have to dictate your next move.
Join in the discussion. Here you'll see the comments in the order they were posted.
I just saw advertised on TV this morning - 32 inch LCD TV for $339, 26 inch LCD TV for $289 - so yeah, the low prices are kicking in now. Another way to get a good price is to visit the scratch and dent centers - as long as you dont mind a physical blemish or two, you can probably knock a few hundred off any HTDV you want. That's how I got mine months ago for hundreds less than the "going" price - and the "blemish" ended up being nothing but dirt!
darn, this article is right on time. i was just about to buy one from tiger direct. guess i can wait a few weeks now. good looking out Y!
I've been out shop looking for a LCD tv and found that all three of the major company's in ohio will make deals. hh gregg will sell a 52" lcd and a blueray cd player for about 2800 to 3000 dollars with tax don't forget check online shopping also for deals
Finally! It's gonna be in my price range to watch my Brown's lose in high-def...
The dirt was palced there by rogueist so he could ask for the discount.
waiting to buy a TV is not always the best idea remember if you know about a good deal so do thousands of others. i work at a big box electronics store and when there are sails like black friday the shelves are picked clean. don't be left out and disapointed for the holidays like so many are every year.
Reality check: Likely, prices on name brands will not drop. Consumers will probably see a larger influx of cheap foreign TVs on the shelves. Here's an idea. Take snapshots NOW of brands you would actually want to buy. Then closer to Black Friday, check to see if those prices have actually dropped. Don't get fooled by the "SALE" sign.
flat screens for $100.00 by Christmas
Not very good at statistics are you? If the average is $233, it doesn't compare very well to the maximum of $256 per panel. I would say that few, if any, manufacturers are selling below cost on the panels. Besides, those manufacturers are making a profit on volume sales, so they don't need to make much on each panel. Prices will continue to drop as long as there isn't a shortage in the supply for making the panels and manufacturing techniques continue to improve. Do you really know anything about economics, statistics, or manufacturing?
1 Posted by heatherbree03 on Thu Sep 3, 2009 4:17PM EDT Report Abuse
Well at Walmart I'm seeing a price for 32 inch at $499 already, which is a pretty good price, and that is for the off brands. And yes lol, $50 saved is $50 worth of groceries for my family! Thanks for the information, I'm skeptical about the "$399" t.v. also, but I sure hope they do plummet!