Analyst: Computer mice could be extinct in 3-to-5 years

Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:08PM EDT

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Touchscreens, facial recognition systems, and gesture-based interfaces could spell the end of the humble computer mouse sooner than you might think, or so a Gartner analyst predicts. Mouse manufacturers (not to mention millions of desktop users) beg to differ.

Analyst Steve Prentice told BBC News that while the "mouse works fine in the desktop environment ... for home entertainment or working on a notebook, it's over."

That's a bold statement, given that the mouse-cursor combo has been making our lives easier for decades (the mouse itself was invented nearly 40 years ago)—and when it comes to a desktop PC, a mouse (as Prentice admits) does, indeed, work "fine."

But the Gartner analysts points to the popularity of the gesture-based Wiimote, the iPhone's touchscreen UI and tilt-sensitive accelerometers, and even the wireless axe in Guitar Hero as evidence that consumers are moving beyond the mouse.

Now, Prentice doesn't go so far as to kiss off the venerable keyboard, too. "For all its faults, the keyboard will remain the primary text input device," he told the BBC. Thank goodness for that.

However, "the idea of a keyboard with a mouse as a control interface is the paradigm that I am talking about breaking down," Prentice said.

Just tell that to mouse maker Logitech. "The death of the mouse is greatly exaggerated," a Logitech exec told the BBC, adding that the company has sold a whopping 500 million mice in the past two decades.

What do you think? Would you ever ditch your mouse for, say, a touch-sensitive PC monitor, or Minority Report-level gesture tech? Or will they have to pry your mouse from your cold, dead fingers?

Related:
Say goodbye to the computer mouse [BBC News]

 

Comments on Analyst: Computer mice could be extinct in 3-to-5 years

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  • 1 Posted by thekclyon on Thu Sep 3, 2009 10:04PM EDT Report Abuse

    How can a touch screen replace my mouse when it comes to uber-pwnage on Team Fortress 2... or any PC game for that matter. Nah. I don't buy it :P

  • 2 Posted by larmo33 on Thu Sep 3, 2009 4:56PM EDT Report Abuse

    As a PC gamer, I find it very annoying that I have to use a keyboard and mouse combo to play games. Whatever happened to having the choice of using a mouse or joystick? I find it interesting that console games which are quite demanding, work wonderfully with just one controller. I recently bought a Falcon gaming device, which provides the user with force and tactile feedback. I hope to use it a lot in the future. I doubt that mouse usage will totally disappear any time soon.

  • 3 Posted by honirich on Thu Sep 3, 2009 4:20PM EDT Report Abuse

    How do you keep the kid's lunch off the touch screen?

  • 4 Posted by agustin2489 on Thu Sep 3, 2009 2:47PM EDT Report Abuse

    Personally, I don't see such a change occurring to desktops in 5 or so years. For most other applications however, it'll start to show up more.

  • 5 Posted by pwdrskir on Thu Sep 3, 2009 8:22PM EDT Report Abuse

    How long has the keyboard been around and when is it going to go away?

  • 6 Posted by kevilharris on Thu Sep 3, 2009 4:50PM EDT Report Abuse

    Iv always been better at using a mouse in games rather then a controller, you can aim more precisly

  • 7 Posted by josephthomasenos on Thu Sep 3, 2009 4:41PM EDT Report Abuse

    Not a chance - the mouse is cheap, easy to use, reliable, easily replaceable in case of malfunction or if you just want a new one, wireless, fast, and has enough buttons now to handle most tasks (scrolling, selecting, navigating, etc.) without moving your hand much. The new types of input devices certainly have their uses, but until we get cheap, reliable eye tracking devices or ones that read your mind, the mouse isn't going away. And I don't think either of those will be available anytime soon.

  • 8 Posted by tjoelwms on Thu Sep 3, 2009 10:12PM EDT Report Abuse

    I'll take the holo-gesture computer any day.

  • 9 Posted by andrew_parker61 on Thu Sep 3, 2009 2:54PM EDT Report Abuse

    I'd love a "Minority Report" - style interface. I do a lot of CAD work, and it would be GREAT to have as rich and controllable interface as Tom Cruise's character did.

  • 10 Posted by kellygreen49 on Thu Sep 3, 2009 4:49PM EDT Report Abuse

    I'd ditch a mouse....But to be honest, I don't think they'll ever go extinct. It's a popular product, and I think they'll always be sold seperately if not with the computer.

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